The study ‘Labour Demand in Ukraine up to 2035’ aims to assess the labour force requirements of the Ukrainian economy in the context of the war, demographic losses, large-scale migration and future post-war recovery. The study was prepared by the Institute for National Economic Development with the support of the Friedrich Ebert Foundation’s Representative Office in Ukraine. Its aim is to determine the actual human capital available to Ukraine as of early 2026 and the labour resources that will be required to ensure economic growth and structural transformation by 2035.
The project combined demographic and macroeconomic approaches: it estimated the population of Ukraine in government-controlled territory, temporarily occupied territories and abroad; analysed changes in employment between 2021 and 2025 by economic sector; and developed scenario-based estimates of future labour demand. Particular attention was paid to the sectors set to form the basis of economic recovery: manufacturing, construction, energy, transport, education, healthcare and technology-oriented activities.
The project resulted in an analytical study entitled «Labour Demand in Ukraine up to 2035», which shows that the adequacy of human capital is one of the key constraints on Ukraine’s future economic growth. The study provides a basis for the formulation of public policy in the areas of employment, the return of Ukrainians from abroad, vocational training, regional development and the improvement of labour productivity. Its findings can be used by government bodies, experts, educational institutions and international partners when planning the recovery and long-term modernisation of Ukraine’s economy.